Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.025009 0.027488 0.029950 0.032575 0.035289 0.038007 0.040931
2025-02-02 0.020161 0.024123 0.028184 0.032629 0.037335 0.042146 0.047416
2025-02-09 0.016177 0.021011 0.026109 0.031820 0.037979 0.044373 0.051471
2025-02-16 0.013831 0.019330 0.025275 0.032056 0.039474 0.047263 0.055987
2025-02-23 0.011737 0.017699 0.024305 0.031969 0.040460 0.049462 0.059624
2025-03-02 0.009856 0.016131 0.023264 0.031676 0.041108 0.051194 0.062657
2025-03-09 0.008335 0.014850 0.022443 0.031537 0.041843 0.052948 0.065641
2025-03-16 0.006703 0.013282 0.021186 0.030817 0.041858 0.053849 0.067636
2025-03-23 0.005689 0.012405 0.020682 0.030910 0.042738 0.055660 0.070583
2025-03-30 0.004561 0.011261 0.019787 0.030490 0.042990 0.056736 0.072685
2025-04-06 0.003435 0.009988 0.018655 0.029735 0.042814 0.057295 0.074180
2025-04-13 0.002264 0.008457 0.017104 0.028413 0.041933 0.057023 0.074717
2025-04-20 0.001825 0.008107 0.017179 0.029199 0.043669 0.059888 0.078960
2025-04-27 0.001191 0.007305 0.016640 0.029250 0.044585 0.061878 0.082297
2025-05-04 0.000517 0.006118 0.015482 0.028476 0.044490 0.062690 0.084290
2025-05-11 0.000221 0.005551 0.015143 0.028702 0.045557 0.064806 0.087726
2025-05-18 0.000022 0.004882 0.014593 0.028619 0.046224 0.066439 0.090594
2025-05-25 NaN 0.004178 0.013921 0.028339 0.046625 0.067741 0.093063
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003602 0.013386 0.028206 0.047181 0.069202 0.095693
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002852 0.012469 0.027518 0.047027 0.069812 0.097333
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002471 0.012142 0.027607 0.047813 0.071508 0.100196
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001953 0.011482 0.027206 0.047969 0.072446 0.102176
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001395 0.010625 0.026485 0.047699 0.072862 0.103540